Mid-Election Predictions

In the past couple of weeks, McCain has won New Hampshire and South Carolina. Mitt Romney finished a close second in NH and a distant 3rd in SC. He also won Nevada. Huckabee finished a very close second in SC. What does all of this mean?

I don't realy know but I've got a couple of predictions.

- McCain or Romney will be the nominee, most likely McCain. If McCain can win Florida then he's not swapping victories with Huckabee like I had previously said he risked doing. The only other person that stands a chance is Romney.
- Rudy is done and should drop out if he doesn't win FL. He's currently polling a close second but neck in neck with Romney and Huckabee isn't far behind.
- Huckabee, as much as I hate to admit it, doesn't stand much of a chance. His only potential game is to be a running mate choice for McCain to try to energize the conservative base.
- Huckabee may no be McCain's best choice as running mate, though. McCain's best choice may be Romney. He's got the money and the economic clout. That's why he won Michigan and then economy is becoming more and more of a factor in the election. Romney has arguably more experience economically than all of the other candidates combined. That may make for an attractive ticket.
- If McCain doesn't win the nomination then he'll still be on the ticket. That's right, if Romney wins, then McCain is his running mate. If, that is, McCain can swallow the pride of the attacks Romney has thrown his way for a spot on the ticket. McCain gives Romney the one thing he sorely lacks: foreign policy experience. Again, this combination makes for a very attractive ticket and is what it'll most likely be if they can not kill one another on the way to one of them winning the nomination.

I have no idea if any of this is accurate or not but it sounds reasonable to me right now based on the way things are shaping up. It will be interesting to see how it all unfolds.